🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
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32%
-1% last 24h
981 bets · 34.2K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Sep 28 · Results Oct 5
Will German Defence Minister Boris Pistorius be physically in Emden on October 5?
78%
Stable · last 24h
📊 211 bettors💎 9.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 5🤖 Context
YES if Boris Pistorius is physically present inside the municipal boundaries of Emden at any time on October 5, 2026 (local date in Europe/Berlin), otherwise NO. • Remote or virtual participation (video call) does not count. Announced visits that are later cancelled do not count. • Social-media-only uncorroborated claims do not suffice. • Source: Bundesministerium der Verteidigung and contemporaneous coverage in at least two independent news outlets (e.g., NDR, Tagesschau).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes78%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Yes, the German Minister of Defense Boris Pistorius was indeed present in Emden on October 5, 2026. He went there alongside the Minister-President of Lower Saxony, Olaf Lies, to sign a letter of intent formalizing the establishment of the second military port of the Bundeswehr on the North Sea.
Source: zeit.deKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 78%
- Predictions made
- 211
- Credits staked
- 9,531
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Sep 28, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 4, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- zeit.de
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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