Will cloud cover at Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais be under 30% at eclipse maximum on August 12?

🤖 Context

YES if, at the exact instant of eclipse maximum for the location of Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais on August 12, 2026 (instant determined from a standard astronomical ephemeris), Météo‑France's reported total sky cloud fraction for the nearest surface observation station (or, if no station within 20 km reports an instantaneous sky fraction, Météo‑France's nearest grid/satellite-derived value) is strictly less than 30%. Otherwise NO. Preference is given to Météo‑France surface observations or its post-event bulletin. If Météo‑France provides no usable observation the resolver may use EUMETSAT/Meteosat satellite cloud-fraction or a consensus of two or more major national news agencies quoting meteorological agencies, and if multiple Météo‑France stations report differing instantaneous fractions the reading from the station closest to the town centre will be used, with any later official Météo‑France revision taken as the final published figure.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 84%, based on 59 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

84%

Predictions made

59

Credits staked

1,540

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 84% and NO 16%, based on 59 predictions and 1.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will cloud cover at Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais be under 30% at eclipse maximum on August 12?” real-money betting?

No. “Will cloud cover at Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais be under 30% at eclipse maximum on August 12?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.