Will cloud cover at Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais be under 30% at eclipse maximum on August 12?

🤖 Context

YES if, at the exact instant of eclipse maximum for the location of Saint‑Cosme‑en‑Vairais on August 12, 2026 (instant determined from a standard astronomical ephemeris), Météo‑France's reported total sky cloud fraction for the nearest surface observation station (or, if no station within 20 km reports an instantaneous sky fraction, Météo‑France's nearest grid/satellite-derived value) is strictly less than 30%. Otherwise NO. Preference is given to Météo‑France surface observations or its post-event bulletin. If Météo‑France provides no usable observation the resolver may use EUMETSAT/Meteosat satellite cloud-fraction or a consensus of two or more major national news agencies quoting meteorological agencies, and if multiple Météo‑France stations report differing instantaneous fractions the reading from the station closest to the town centre will be used, with any later official Météo‑France revision taken as the final published figure.

Key facts

Crowd probability

84%

Predictions made

108

Credits staked

2,468

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Resolved

Aug 14, 2026

Outcome

Yes