🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?
32%
Stable · last 24h
270 bets · 11.2K credits5
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ScienceOpened Jul 31 · Results Aug 1
Will Central Park record over 4.60 inches of precipitation in July 2026?
63%
Stable · last 24h
📊 142 bettors💎 3K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1🤖 Context
YES if the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) station monthly summary or the National Weather Service (NWS) station climate page for Central Park (New York, NY) reports July 2026 total precipitation strictly greater than 4.60 inches. The figure must be published by 12:00 on August 1, 2026. If both NCEI and NWS publish official monthly totals that differ, the NCEI monthly total will be used.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes63%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 63%
- Predictions made
- 142
- Credits staked
- 2,960
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 31, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 4 💎
yeah, we’re gonna drown in July 2026. it's new york, not the desert! 🌧️
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