Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

41%
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68%
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YES if, on any date from 19 September 2026 through 21 September 2026 local Saint‑Pierre‑et‑Miquelon time (UTC−03:00), two or more independent authoritative news outlets or press communiqués from the Élysée and/or the Canadian government report that Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney was physically present in Saint‑Pierre‑et‑Miquelon and took part in at least one official engagement alongside President Emmanuel Macron (joint meetings, ceremonies, or equivalent). Remote appearances or statements without a physical visit do not count. If Carney is replaced or does not travel, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 22, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 47 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the short window and the need for official reports, it's unlikely Carney will make it. Plus, back-to-back engagements with Macron in such a remote location seem ambitious at best.

41%
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80%
Stable · last 24h

74%
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11%
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61%
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48%
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