Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

31%
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67%
Stable · last 24h
YES if at least one public, physical demonstration takes place in Germany on October 31, 2026 and credible reporting explicitly links it to the planned October 31 protest in France. Otherwise NO. • The event must be a public, physical demonstration, not an online post or unverified claim. • The link to the French protest must be reported by at least two independent national news outlets, or by a German police press release plus at least one independent national news outlet. • If the French organisers or authorities publicly cancelled or postponed the planned October 31 actions before that date, the market resolves NO. • If a gathering spans midnight, it counts only if reporting explicitly attributes it to October 31, 2026. • Source: Tagesschau.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tagesschau.de. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timing and the planned protests in France, it's likely at least one demonstration will take place in Germany. Media coverage should confirm the connection.

31%
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94%
Stable · last 24h

71%
+17% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

94%
+4% last 24h
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