Will Russia publicly announce a new general or partial military mobilization?

39%
Stable · last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than October 8, 2026, the Parquet de Carcassonne or another judicial authority publicly announces that one or more municipal police officers who appear in the 2025 bodycam video have been placed under formal criminal investigation ("mis en examen") or have been criminally charged for offences arising from that video's content. A public press release, a published court docket, or reporting by major national outlets explicitly citing the Parquet or court documents counts as a public announcement. Administrative suspensions or internal disciplinary measures do not qualify.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 84 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledMay justice be served

39%
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73%
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54%
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82%
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21%
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73%
+19% last 24h
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