Will any place in France see a total solar eclipse on August 12?

🤖 Context

YES if eclipse ephemerides or maps published by recognised astronomical authorities (for example NASA or IMCCE / Observatoire de Paris) and mainstream reporting show that at least one fixed point located within France’s internationally recognised territory was inside the path of totality for the 12 August 2026 solar eclipse (i.e., the Sun was completely obscured at that point for a non‑zero interval) on the local date 12 August 2026. Otherwise NO. This market is about the astronomical path only, weather or visibility do not affect the outcome.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against numerama.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 22%, based on 95 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

22%

Predictions made

95

Credits staked

3,010

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 9, 2026

Closes

Aug 11, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 12, 2026

Resolution source

numerama.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 11, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 22% and NO 78%, based on 95 predictions and 3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against numerama.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any place in France see a total solar eclipse on August 12?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any place in France see a total solar eclipse on August 12?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.