Will the Falcon 9 first stage on Starlink 15-16 land successfully on the droneship 'Of Course I Still Love You'?

91%
Stable · last 24h

62%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Sep 21YES if Météo‑France's official station observations show at least one station in metropolitan France with a calendar-day (00:00–23:59 local time) precipitation total of ≥100.0 mm on any date from September 18 through no later than September 20, 2026. Otherwise NO. The primary resolution source is official Météo‑France station data. Keraunos' event log or multiple independent national news reports that explicitly quote an official Météo‑France station total may also be used as supporting evidence.
How markets are built and settled62%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they got it wrong.

91%
Stable · last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

42%
+2% last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

39%
-4% last 24h
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