Will any official mainland France weather station record a 2‑m air temperature of at least 40.0 °C?

🤖 Context

YES if Météo‑France's official observations show at least one 2‑m air temperature measurement ≥ 40.0 °C at any official Météo‑France station in metropolitan (mainland) France at any time between 00:00 on August 8, 2026 and 23:59:59 on August 9, 2026 (local time, UTC+2). Otherwise NO. Météo‑France is the preferred authoritative source. Corroborating reports from other national meteorological services or major national news outlets quoting Météo‑France's official observed value are acceptable. Only measurements from official Météo‑France stations count. If Météo‑France later publishes corrected final values, those corrected values will be used.

Key facts

Crowd probability

64%

Predictions made

184

Credits staked

5,016

Comments

3

Opened

Aug 4, 2026

Closes

Aug 7, 2026

Resolved

Aug 13, 2026

Outcome

Yes