Will Falcon 9 place all 27 Starlink V2 Mini satellites into low Earth orbit?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 25YES if any official Météo‑France observation station located within the administrative boundaries of the Pas‑de‑Calais department reports a cumulative precipitation total of at least 50.0 millimetres for the interval from 20:00 on 24 October 2026 through 04:00 on 25 October 2026 (inclusive); otherwise NO. • Only official Météo‑France observation stations inside the Pas‑de‑Calais department count. • Use the station's published cumulative precipitation total for that interval. The reported value must be at least 50.0 mm with no additional rounding. • Source: Météo‑France (official observation pages or departmental observation bulletins). Departmental prefecture bulletins or major national/regional media that explicitly cite Météo‑France are also acceptable.
How markets are built and settled83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: @ivresse is wrong because their source cites a simple forecast ("forecasts heavy rain") and not recorded observational data. The official measurements from Météo-France for this interval show a maximum total of 40.2 mm, which is below the required threshold of 50.0 mm. Therefore, the market resolves to NO. You can click on the link if you still have any doubts 😌
Source: meteo-marine.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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