Will any area in Spain be under 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for extreme heat on September 6?

🤖 Context

YES if, according to Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) Meteoalerta archived warnings for the calendar date September 6, 2026 (Spain local time), at least one Spanish warning area ('área' as listed by AEMET) was assigned aviso nivel naranja or aviso nivel rojo for the hazard 'extreme high temperatures (heat)' at any time on that date. Otherwise NO. Independent Spanish national weather or news coverage that explicitly reports a naranja or rojo aviso for the same hazard and date is also acceptable.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 12 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

63%

Predictions made

12

Credits staked

405

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 5, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 7, 2026

Resolution source

aemet.es

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 5, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 63% and NO 37%, based on 12 predictions and 405 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against aemet.es once the outcome is known.

Is “Will any area in Spain be under 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for extreme heat on September 6?” real-money betting?

No. “Will any area in Spain be under 'aviso naranja' (orange alert) or 'aviso rojo' (red alert) for extreme heat on September 6?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.