Will Hurricane Karina make landfall on any landmass?

55%
+2% last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
YES if AEMET's archived warnings for 5 September 2026 show at least one Spanish forecast area with aviso naranja or aviso rojo for extreme high temperatures at any time during the local date. If AEMET posts combined/multi-hazard entries, the colour shown next to the temperature-related line decides. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 4, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against aemet.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 66%, based on 19 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAEMET's forecast already shows several areas with an orange warning for extreme heat tomorrow. It's highly likely at least one area will be marked, so this will definitely happen.

55%
+2% last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h

35%
-22% last 24h

60%
-3% last 24h

75%
+1% last 24h

64%
-3% last 24h
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