Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

31%
-2% last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, between 19:01:42 UTC on October 14, 2026 and no later than November 30, 2026, two or more independent authoritative UK news outlets report that a formal investigation or inquiry has been opened into the deletion of hospitality records showing Andy Burnham had two dinners with Manchester City chairman Khaldoon Al Mubarak, or an official body issues an explicit statement that such an investigation or inquiry has been opened. Otherwise NO. • "Opened" means a formal probe described in reporting as an investigation or inquiry being launched. Calls for or expressions of intent do not qualify. • Source: BBC News, other independent UK news outlets, or an official body (police, parliamentary standards body, local authority, independent regulator, or party disciplinary body).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 401 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the serious implications, it's likely an investigation will be opened. The media scrutiny around Burnham and Al Mubarak ensures formal inquiries are hard to avoid.

31%
-2% last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

71%
+16% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

94%
+3% last 24h
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