Will the opposition have a majority by at least three seats in the Riksdag?

🤖 Context

YES if Sweden's official certified final results show the opposition's number of seats in the Riksdag exceeds the combined seats of all other parties by three or more seats. Otherwise NO. The market resolves based on the certified results from Sweden's official election authority, or on the certified seat allocation reported by two or more independent, authoritative news organisations.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 55 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

41%

Predictions made

55

Credits staked

1,319

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 14, 2026

Closes

Sep 16, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 18, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 16, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 18, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 41% and NO 59%, based on 55 predictions and 1.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the opposition have a majority by at least three seats in the Riksdag?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the opposition have a majority by at least three seats in the Riksdag?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.