🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?
29%
Stable · last 24h
243 bets · 10.2K credits5
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ScienceOpened Oct 8 · Results Oct 13
Will a SpaceX Falcon 9 lift off from SLC-40 for NASA's CRS-35 on October 13?
83%
Stable · last 24h
📊 304 bettors💎 12.6K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13🤖 Context
YES if the Falcon 9 vehicle assigned to CRS-35 physically lifts off and clears the launch pad at SLC-40, Cape Canaveral during the scheduled launch attempt no later than 06:33 EDT on October 13, 2026, otherwise NO. • Engine ignition that does not result in pad departure counts as NO. • Source: NASA or SpaceX mission status/webcast, Spaceflight Now, or mainstream news agency.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes83%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: SpaceX's Falcon 9 successfully launched from SLC-40 (Cape Canaveral) on October 13, 2026, at 6:33 a.m. EDT (12:33 CEST) for the CRS-35 mission. The launch was a success, the first stage landed on LZ-40, and the Dragon capsule is en route to the ISS (docking expected on October 15).
Source: nasa.govKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 83%
- Predictions made
- 304
- Credits staked
- 12,597
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Oct 8, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 14, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- nasa.gov
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 3 comments
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