🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
987 bets · 34.3K credits13
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PoliticsOpened Sep 23 · Results Oct 16
Will a recount in Steglitz‑Zehlendorf change vote totals or the winner in any contest?
33%
Stable · last 24h
📊 401 bettors💎 7.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 16🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 15, 2026, either the official Berlin election authority (for example the Landeswahlleiter) issues an explicit updated official statement saying a recount in Steglitz‑Zehlendorf changed vote totals or produced a different official winner for any contest, or at least two independent authoritative news outlets report that the recount changed the official totals or outcome. Credible reporting by two independent outlets without an official statement is sufficient to resolve YES. Minor administrative corrections that do not change vote totals or winners do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The recount did take place but did not result in any changes.
Source: rbb24.deKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 33%
- Predictions made
- 401
- Credits staked
- 7,284
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 23, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 15, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 16, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- rbb24.de
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
With only 22 days to go, any significant change seems unlikely unless there's an unexpected finding. The official election authority would have to act promptly for a shift in results.
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