Will a new 'proposition de loi intégrale' on gender-based and sexual violence be deposited at the National Assembly?

🤖 Context

YES if the National Assembly's official bills register or the Assembly's published documents show an official deposit no later than August 20, 2026, of a new bill described as the "proposition de loi intégrale" or of a bill formally submitted by Céline Thiébault-Martinez (or by the same sponsoring coalition), and that deposit includes a bill number and the published text. Drafts, leaks, or reports not registered in the Assembly's public bill register do not count. Preferred sources are the Assemblée nationale bills register and the Journal officiel, with corroboration from major news agencies such as AFP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lcp.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 57%, based on 44 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

57%

Predictions made

44

Credits staked

1,042

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 12, 2026

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 21, 2026

Resolution source

lcp.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 57% and NO 43%, based on 44 predictions and 1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against lcp.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a new 'proposition de loi intégrale' on gender-based and sexual violence be deposited at the National Assembly?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a new 'proposition de loi intégrale' on gender-based and sexual violence be deposited at the National Assembly?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.