Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
Stable · last 24h

66%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 21YES if the National Assembly's official bills register or the Assembly's published documents show an official deposit no later than August 20, 2026, of a new bill described as the "proposition de loi intégrale" or of a bill formally submitted by Céline Thiébault-Martinez (or by the same sponsoring coalition), and that deposit includes a bill number and the published text. Drafts, leaks, or reports not registered in the Assembly's public bill register do not count. Preferred sources are the Assemblée nationale bills register and the Journal officiel, with corroboration from major news agencies such as AFP.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.

95%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

34%
+21% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
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