Will a majority of valid votes in Guinea-Bissau's August 30 referendum be 'Yes' to give the president expanded powers?

🤖 Context

YES if Guinea-Bissau's national electoral authority's certified result, or credible reporting by two or more independent authoritative news outlets, shows more than 50% of valid votes cast were 'Yes' in favour of granting the president expanded powers in the referendum held on August 30, 2026. NO otherwise.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 35 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

35

Credits staked

1,006

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 31, 2026

Closes

Sep 2, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 3, 2026

Resolution source

apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 2, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 3, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 35 predictions and 1K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against apnews.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a majority of valid votes in Guinea-Bissau's August 30 referendum be 'Yes' to give the president expanded powers?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a majority of valid votes in Guinea-Bissau's August 30 referendum be 'Yes' to give the president expanded powers?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.