Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?

75%
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85%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the most recently published publicly available poll for the Florida Governor race that includes both Byron Donalds and David Jolly shows Byron Donalds with a strictly higher reported percentage by 12:00 AM on October 29, 2026 (Eastern Time). Otherwise NO. • Only polls that report topline percentages for both named candidates count. • If multiple polls share the same fieldwork end date and publication date, use the poll with the later publication time. • Source: VoteHub.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against votehub.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 85%, based on 412 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that the latest poll shows them tied at 47%, I doubt Byron Donalds will pull ahead in the next one. Ties resolve NO, so I'm leaning against this happening.

75%
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74%
Stable · last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h

95%
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40%
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26%
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