Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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46%
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YES if the US iPhone Apple App Store 'Top Paid Apps' chart lists 'Shadowrocket' as the sole #1 at 12:00 PM ET on August 28, 2026, otherwise NO. The app name must match exactly how it appears on that chart. If the chart shows a tie or multiple items occupying the top position with no unique #1, the market resolves NO. This is decided according to the US iPhone App Store 'Top Paid Apps' chart.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 28, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 30, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 46%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith just a day to go, it's unlikely 'Shadowrocket' will claim the top spot. Current trends suggest stiff competition in the paid app category. Expect a crowded leaderboard, no unique #1 here.

91%
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61%
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32%
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48%
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40%
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42%
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