Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

91%
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67%
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YES if Kalshi has Finalized the KXOPENSHARE-26AUG24-19.5 market with outcome YES, meaning OpenAI's market share for the week of August 24, 2026, per OpenRouter Market Share (as updated at 10:00 AM ET on Monday, August 24, 2026) exceeded 19.5%. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 19 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the current odds at 28%, I doubt OpenAI's market share will exceed 19.5%. It's a stretch based on previous trends, especially with only a few days left.

91%
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32%
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38%
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48%
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42%
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50%
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