Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if OpenAI's official status page shows the finalized daily status box for August 12, 2026 marked as "Partial/Full Outage" (red) and that box explicitly lists ChatGPT under Affected components. Yellow or degraded-performance boxes do not qualify. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 6%, based on 239 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that today is August 12 and the official status page hasn't shown any red alerts so far, I don't expect a full outage. Odds are slim that it turns by tomorrow's wrap-up.

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