Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

93%
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52%
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YES if Apple publicly announces at its September 2026 iPhone event a hardware product that Apple identifies at the time as the next Ultra-series Apple Watch, for example using the name 'Apple Watch Ultra 4' or clearly marketing it as the Ultra-series successor, and publishes an Apple Newsroom article or Apple Store product page tied to the event. Otherwise NO. watchOS or other software updates, or teasers of future Ultra hardware without a product announcement at the event, resolve NO. Mainstream coverage may be used to corroborate the announcement.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple will likely announce a successor to the Ultra at the September event. They've built up too much anticipation, and anything less would disappoint their fans in this competitive market.

93%
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41%
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67%
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73%
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43%
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42%
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