Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if Google’s official Pixel 11 announcement at the Made by Google / Pixel event on August 12, 2026, or the Google Store US product page published during or immediately after that event, states the Pixel 11’s US availability/ship date is August 20, 2026. Otherwise NO. This counts only if Google’s US product materials or official event announcement explicitly list August 20, 2026 for the US; vague language like “late August” does not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 12, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com, 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 70%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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