Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

83%
+2% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 2This market resolves YES if NVIDIA is the largest company in the world by market capitalization at the close of trading on July 31, 2026, as determined by Polymarket's official resolution of its mirrored market. Polymarket uses each company's market cap at its primary exchange close on July 31, 2026 as reported by credible financial sources and applies its consensus procedure to resolve ties or conflicting figures. If Polymarket declares no qualifying data or cancels the market, this market will resolve exactly as Polymarket declares.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: NVIDIA is the largest company in the world by market capitalization at primary-exchange close on July 31, 2026, as determined by Polymarket's official resolution of the mirrored market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?'. Target date: 2026-07-31 (market close). Observed data: Polymarket official market state (mirrored market) shows that question's resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=1, No=0 — i.e. Polymarket officially resolved the mirrored market to YES. Comparison and decision: the market rule requires this market to resolve identically to Polymarket's official resolution; because Polymarket resolved YES, this market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't believe it
@mika.prt Clutch has indeed resolved it to YES!
Poly market indicates yes, and you indicated no.
No
Easy to verify

83%
+2% last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

20%
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