Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

83%
+3% last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Apple lists any iPhone Duo model as available to buy for U.S. customers (Apple accepts orders that will ship or allows in‑store pickup) at any time on October 23, 2026, Cupertino local time. Resolution will rely on Apple's own storefronts (Apple Store product pages, the Apple Store app, or Apple Newsroom). Corroborating reports from major tech outlets such as 9to5Mac, TechCrunch, Bloomberg, or Reuters also suffice. If Apple only shows demo units or announces availability without accepting orders or shipping units that day, that does NOT count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 23, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 35%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's track record suggests they'll have the iPhone Duo ready on launch day. Given the hype and previous releases, expect something available for orders on October 23.

83%
+3% last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

20%
-30% last 24h

37%
-6% last 24h
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