Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

72%
+23% last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 2YES if the Polymarket market "Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?" officially resolves to YES on the Polymarket event page. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket's event page publishes no clear official resolution for that event by August 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC, this market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: the Polymarket market titled 'Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?' must officially resolve to YES on the Polymarket event page. Target/deadline in the rule: Polymarket must publish a clear official resolution by 2026-08-02T23:59:00+00:00 (fallback). Observed value(s): the supplied Polymarket data shows the Moonshot market has resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1. Per the Polymarket convention (the outcome priced 1 is the official result), Yes=0 / No=1 indicates the market officially resolved to NO. Comparison and conclusion: because Polymarket's official resolution for the Moonshot market is NO (not YES), this mirrored market resolves to NO. Decisive observation date (data fetch): 2026-08-03.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledmoonshot won't be top of the game by 2026. maybe play it safe and bet on some mediocre coding instead? 😂

72%
+23% last 24h

80%
Stable · last 24h

78%
Stable · last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
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