Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

55%
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63%
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YES if Apple publicly announces a new Apple‑branded AR/VR headset hardware model during its product event on September 9, 2026. The announcement must present a distinct new headset SKU/model as new hardware, and Apple must list it for sale or for pre‑order on Apple.com or in an Apple Newsroom product announcement. Announcements that are only visionOS or software updates, accessories, developer previews, or improvements to the existing Vision Pro do not count. Resolution will be based on Apple Newsroom, Apple's official event livestream/video, or reporting from major news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 63%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple's been teasing AR/VR for a while. Expect a new headset model at the event tomorrow; they can't resist making a splash. This one's a yes.

55%
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48%
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52%
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39%
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26%
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84%
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