Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?

55%
+9% last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, during Apple's product event on September 9, 2026, Apple explicitly announces an exact calendar date (month/day/year) for general availability of its on-device Siri / Apple Intelligence feature for iPhone users, or explicitly says the feature is "available today" during the event livestream or in Apple's simultaneous Newsroom/product announcement. Otherwise NO. Resolution will be based on Apple’s event livestream and Apple Newsroom, and reporting from major news outlets.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 9, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 9, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 48%, based on 6 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledApple tends to be straightforward about major features. They’ll likely announce a specific release date or say "available today" during the event. Expect clarity tomorrow.

55%
+9% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h
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