Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

25%
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34%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 26YES if the official race classification for the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix, as published by the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA), lists Kimi Antonelli as the race winner (classified P1) by 20:00 on July 26, 2026. Otherwise NO, including if the FIA cancels the event and issues no official classification. If the FIA amends the result after initial publication, the final classification published by the FIA determines the market outcome.
How markets are built and settled34%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied authoritative race results show Lando Norris, not Kimi Antonelli, as the winner of the 2026 Hungarian Grand Prix on 2026-07-26. The Ergast F1 API final classification (official data API) lists Lando Norris as P1 and Andrea Kimi Antonelli as P3, and Formula1.com's race report likewise names Norris as the race winner. None of the supplied evidence shows fia.com listing Kimi Antonelli as P1 by 20:00 on 2026-07-26, so the FIA publication did not list Antonelli as the winner by that deadline.
Source: api.jolpi.caSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledTenez code de parrainage
franchement, je parie que ça va pas le faire. trop de facteurs en jeu pour qu'il arrive à s'imposer comme ça. on en reparle dans 3 ans ! 😄

25%
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64%
Stable · last 24h

63%
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55%
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52%
Stable · last 24h

95%
Stable · last 24h
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