Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
+42% last 24h

46%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 27YES if the National Weather Service official observations for the Central Park, NY station report a daily precipitation total of at least 0.01 inch for Saturday, July 25 or for Sunday, July 26 (local date). If the Central Park station data are unavailable, the market uses NOAA NCEI daily station data instead. If neither agency publishes official daily precipitation totals for the Central Park station for both dates by the resolution date, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
oh it'll rain, just watch. new york can't go a weekend without a little sprinkle, right? 🌧️

77%
+42% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

22%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
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