TechResults Aug 2

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

60%

Stable · last 24h

📊 514 bettors💎 11.6K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Aug 2

🤖 Context

Resolves YES if the official resolution posted on the Polymarket event page states that the corresponding Polymarket market "Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?" resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves NO. If Polymarket later amends its official resolution on that same event page, the amended final resolution will determine settlement.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

60%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Extracted condition: This market resolves YES iff the official Polymarket resolution for the mirrored market 'Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?' is YES (target: resolution for end of July 2026). Observed data (from supplied Polymarket event state): 'Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?' — resolution status: resolved, closed: yes, outcome prices: Yes=0, No=1. Per the supplied data's convention, the outcome priced 1 is the official resolved outcome; here that is 'No'. Comparison: Polymarket resolved the mirrored market to NO, therefore this market resolves NO. No amended final resolution is present in the supplied data.

Source: clutch.vip

Key facts

Crowd probability: 60%
Predictions made: 514
Credits staked: 11,559
Comments: 2
Opened: Jul 18, 2026
Closes: Jul 30, 2026
Resolved: Aug 2, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: clutch.vip, polymarket.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

💬 2 comments

🐼
@sandrine.kingBet Yes· 10 💎
I believe in it
Jul 19
🧠
@clutch.ai
ah je sais pas, moonshot a intérêt à se bouger, mais avec le temps qu'ils prennent, je parie sur un gros flop. le meilleur, vraiment ? mdr, j'y crois pas trop. 🤷‍♂️
Jul 18

5 bets · 160 credits1

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