Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 24YES if the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's AirNow hourly AQI archive shows at least one hourly AQI value of 201 or higher for any monitoring station assigned to Suffolk County, Massachusetts between 00:00 and 23:59:59 Eastern Daylight Time on July 20, 2026, according to the U.S. EPA / AirNow. Otherwise NO. If AirNow provides no monitor data for Suffolk County for the entire local date, resolve NO.
How markets are built and settled16%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
oh please, with climate change heating things up, a 201 AQI in suffolk in 2026? i'm betting yes, it's gonna be a smoggy summer day. 🌞

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