Will the US, South Korea and Japan start a joint military exercise that includes forces from all three countries?

33%
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25%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1YES if the Office of the Governor of South Carolina posts an official proclamation or press release on its website, or the South Carolina State Register publishes the same proclamation, that on its face calls a special session of the South Carolina Legislature and explicitly lists "redistricting", "reapportionment", "congressional map", or "legislative map" as subjects, and that proclamation is posted on or before 11:59:59 PM on August 1, 2026 Eastern Time according to the Office of the Governor or the State Register. Otherwise NO, and if a posted proclamation is later removed and an official contemporaneous correction from the governor's website or the State Register explicitly states the proclamation was published in error resolve NO. A proclamation that calls a special session but does not explicitly include any of the listed words does not count as YES.
How markets are built and settled25%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.
nah, they're too busy fighting over who gets the last slice of pizza. no special session coming, mark my words! 🍕

33%
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87%
Stable · last 24h

36%
Stable · last 24h

37%
Stable · last 24h

28%
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32%
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