Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
246/397
right calls
69
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions69
- Will Andrés Manuel López Beltrán (Andy) be formally named in a criminal investigation or charged?Results Dec 1419 predictions25%Yes
- Will Mexico be declared free of illiteracy?Results Jan 1411 predictions56%Yes
- Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.6 or greater?Results Oct 30342 predictions36%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 3049 predictions15%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk González still be competing in the second season on October 28?Results Oct 293 predictions78%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk still be competing on October 29?Results Oct 302 predictions80%Yes
- Will the Chamber of Deputies debate or vote on reforms to the Ley de Inversión Extranjera or on forest certificate rules?Results Oct 312 predictions60%Yes
- La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk still be competing on October 27?Awaiting result2 predictions70%Yes
- Will official documents about Talleres Gráficos de México's contracts and activities since this administration took office be published?Results Nov 221 prediction62%Yes
How it turned out397
- Will tropical cyclone Polo make landfall anywhere in Mexico?Yes
The crowd was 92% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 4 - Will Depresión Tropical Diecinueve‑E make landfall in Mexico?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 3 - La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk González still be competing on October 2 after 'La Traición'?Yes
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 22 °C on October 2?Yes
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will the tropical cyclone called 'Depresión Tropical Dieciocho-E' make landfall on the Mexican mainland?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 3 - Will IMSS workers or pensioners hold a public protest in Mexico City on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 3 - Will Mexico google Alejandra Guzmán more than Avengers Doomsday on 2026-10-02?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 3 - Will Mexico City's high be at least 24.0 °C on October 1?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will a "comparecencia" (ministerial appearance) be scheduled for the Segundo Informe?Yes
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 2 - Will Mexico and the U.S. publicly say they held or scheduled formal T‑MEC review talks?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 2