Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
246/397
right calls
69
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions69
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will federal charges be filed against Iván "N" (alias "El Cromo") for extortion, drug dealing, murder, or kidnapping?Closes Jan 1402 predictions17%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,105,963.2 million pesos to Health?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2401 predictions76%Yes
- Will at least one of the 12,500 new 'consultorios gratuitos' start operating?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will a formal criminal investigation be opened into Guadalupe Taddei?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 29 predictions42%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in Mexico?Closes Oct 315 predictions69%Yes
- Will detailed vote counts from the Oct 14 IMSS salary consultation be published?Closes Nov 34 predictions62%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will IMSS workers hold a public march in Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 313 predictions83%Yes
- Will IMSS workers stage blockades or mobilizations that close roads in at least three different Mexican states or Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 312 predictions70%Yes
- Will Ciudad Juárez set clocks back one hour on November 1?Closes Nov 11 prediction86%Yes
How it turned out397
- La Granja VIP: Will Natalia Alcocer still be competing after the elimination episode on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda be eliminated in the gala on 27 September?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - La Granja VIP: Will Daniela Alexis 'La Bebeshita' still be competing on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will Claudia Sheinbaum give a public in-person speech at Mexico City's Zócalo on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 27 °C on September 26?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will the cyclone Fox Weather calls Invest 99E make landfall as a Category 1-or-stronger hurricane on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will Mexico beat Colombia on September 26?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will Hurricane Polo make landfall on Mexican territory (mainland or Mexican islands)?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 26 °C on September 25?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 26 - Will Stray Kids perform at Estadio GNP Seguros in Mexico City on September 25 as part of STRAYCITY?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 26