Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
246/397
right calls
69
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions69
- Will Morena publish a single definitive national list naming its chosen coordinators/candidates for all 300 federal districts?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 2402 predictions38%Yes
- Will federal charges be filed against Iván "N" (alias "El Cromo") for extortion, drug dealing, murder, or kidnapping?Closes Jan 1402 predictions17%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,105,963.2 million pesos to Health?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2401 predictions76%Yes
- Will at least one of the 12,500 new 'consultorios gratuitos' start operating?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 1401 predictions60%Yes
- Will a formal criminal investigation be opened into Guadalupe Taddei?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 29 predictions42%Yes
- Liga MX: Will Pumas UNAM be above Puebla in the table on October 31?Closes Oct 29 · Results Oct 318 predictions67%Yes
- Will Claudia Sheinbaum meet on the record with Tatiana Clouthier in person or in a publicly acknowledged call?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 166 predictions27%Yes
- Will Tropical Storm Vance make landfall in Mexico?Closes Oct 315 predictions69%Yes
- Will detailed vote counts from the Oct 14 IMSS salary consultation be published?Closes Nov 34 predictions62%Yes
- Will Morena publicly name at least one new state coordinator by direct designation?Closes Dec 14 predictions70%Yes
- Will IMSS workers hold a public march in Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 313 predictions83%Yes
- Will IMSS workers stage blockades or mobilizations that close roads in at least three different Mexican states or Mexico City on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 312 predictions70%Yes
How it turned out397
- Will Rosa Icela Rodríguez personally appear before the Chamber of Deputies' Jucopo in a private session on Sept. 29?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 1 - Will any political party or civil‑society organization file a formal complaint alleging Rosa Icela Rodríguez breached electoral neutrality for attending the INE 'banderazo' on September 10?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 1 - Will Invest 99E make landfall on Mexico's Pacific coast or on the Baja California peninsula?Yes
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 30 - Will Mexico City's high reach at least 24 °C on September 29?Yes
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 30 - La Granja VIP: Will Mónica Escobedo still be competing after the September 27 gala?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 30 - Will 'Coyote vs. Acme' have a strictly higher Mexico weekend gross than 'Hechizo de Amor 2: La Magia Continua'?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 27 °C on September 28?No
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Hurricane Odalys make landfall on Mexican territory?No
The crowd was 88% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - Will Cinépolis or Cinemex start public pre-sales in Mexico for Avengers: Doomsday in Infinity Vision?Yes
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 29 - La Granja VIP: Will Manelyk González still be competing on September 28?Yes
The crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 29