Will Sophie Adenot return to Earth and land or splash down?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 27YES if, no later than September 26, 2026, Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) official observation logs show precipitation recorded as snow at any observation station within the District of Whistler, BC, or if at least two independent Canadian mainstream news outlets publish reports explicitly stating Whistler received its first snowfall of the 2026 season. ECCC or Parks Canada station observations take precedence over single news reports. Trace flurries count if recorded as snow by ECCC or explicitly described as 'snow' or 'first snowfall' by the cited outlets, and isolated unverified social‑media claims do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled22%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: We can see a drop of 10cm of snow on September 24, so we can deduce that yes
Source: snow-forecast.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that it’s only a few days until the deadline and snowfall is likely in late September, I’d say Whistler has a good chance to record its first snow. Pretty confident here.

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