Will ULA's Vulcan launch of Amazon Leo (LV‑01) from Cape Canaveral on November 13 place the payload(s) into their intended orbit(s)?

🤖 Context

YES if ULA's Vulcan launch from Cape Canaveral on November 13, 2026 at 23:30 UTC is reported by ULA, Amazon, or ordinary independent news outlets to have achieved mission success and placed the Amazon Leo (LV‑01) payload(s) into the intended orbit(s), otherwise NO. • A mission statement from ULA or Amazon counts, as does independent news reporting that explicitly confirms orbital insertion and payload deployment. • If the launch is postponed or rescheduled, this market resolves on the official outcome of the later attempt. If the planned launch is officially cancelled with no later attempt, the market resolves NO. • Source: ULA, Amazon, Spaceflight Now, Reuters, AP.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 14, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 88%, based on 216 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

88%

Predictions made

216

Credits staked

8,730

Comments

4

Opened

Oct 29, 2026

Closes

Nov 13, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 14, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 14, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 88% and NO 12%, based on 216 predictions and 8.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will ULA's Vulcan launch of Amazon Leo (LV‑01) from Cape Canaveral on November 13 place the payload(s) into their intended orbit(s)?” real-money betting?

No. “Will ULA's Vulcan launch of Amazon Leo (LV‑01) from Cape Canaveral on November 13 place the payload(s) into their intended orbit(s)?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.