Will Tropical Storm Moke cause any Hawaiian county or the State of Hawaii to issue an evacuation order or declare a state or county emergency?

🤖 Context

YES if, no later than September 16, 2026, any Hawaiian county government (Honolulu, Maui, Hawaii, Kauai, or Kalawao) or the State of Hawaii publicly issues an official evacuation order (mandatory or recommended) or formally declares a state or county emergency that explicitly cites "Tropical Storm Moke" as the cause. Authoritative sources are official press releases or web postings from the affected county emergency management office(s) or the Hawaii Emergency Management Agency (HI‑EMA). Contemporary news reports that quote those official statements are also admissible. Voluntary preparedness notices from non-governmental organisations do not count unless accompanied by an official evacuation order or emergency declaration. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against theweathernetwork.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 73%, based on 35 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

73%

Predictions made

35

Credits staked

831

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 12, 2026

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 17, 2026

Resolution source

theweathernetwork.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 73% and NO 27%, based on 35 predictions and 831 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against theweathernetwork.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Tropical Storm Moke cause any Hawaiian county or the State of Hawaii to issue an evacuation order or declare a state or county emergency?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Tropical Storm Moke cause any Hawaiian county or the State of Hawaii to issue an evacuation order or declare a state or county emergency?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.