Will the wildfire in the Massif du Claps (Drôme) be contained?

🤖 Context

YES if the Préfecture de la Drôme issues an explicit official statement no later than August 12, 2026 that names the massif du Claps (Drôme) and unambiguously declares the wildfire 'fixé', 'maîtrisé', 'circonscrit', 'contained', or equivalent wording meaning the fire is contained and no active fronts remain. An official communiqué from SDIS 26 is also acceptable. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 39%, based on 62 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

39%

Predictions made

62

Credits staked

1,700

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 10, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 13, 2026

Resolution source

tf1info.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 39% and NO 61%, based on 62 predictions and 1.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against tf1info.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the wildfire in the Massif du Claps (Drôme) be contained?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the wildfire in the Massif du Claps (Drôme) be contained?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.