Will the UK hold a parliamentary general election?

🤖 Context

YES if a UK parliamentary general election with a UK‑wide polling day for the House of Commons is held no later than February 28, 2027, otherwise NO. • The election must be UK‑wide and be for the House of Commons. Local or devolved-only elections do not count. • An announcement of intention does not count. The official national polling day must fall on or before February 28, 2027. • Source: Official notice from the UK Government, Parliament, or the Electoral Commission, or credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Feb 28, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Mar 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against bbc.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 403 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

82%

Predictions made

403

Credits staked

7,491

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 4, 2026

Closes

Feb 28, 2027

Expected resolution

Mar 1, 2027

Resolution source

bbc.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Feb 28, 2027, and it's expected to resolve on Mar 1, 2027.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 82% and NO 18%, based on 403 predictions and 7.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against bbc.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the UK hold a parliamentary general election?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the UK hold a parliamentary general election?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.