Will at least one location in mainland Spain see totality during the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse?

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YES if, no later than September 15, 2026, public evidence confirms that the specific Starship hull discussed in Numerama's August 4, 2026 article was physically inside a recognized port basin, secured at a named port or shipyard, or placed onshore/in drydock for repair. Acceptable evidence includes statements from SpaceX or the salvage operator, port or drydock notices, AIS/maritime tracking data, or reporting by major news agencies. Mere anchoring offshore or passing near a port does not count, otherwise NO.
Sources used to create this market
Given the timeline and the evidence required, it's unlikely that the Starship hull will be secured in a port or dry dock by September 15. Too many uncertainties remain right now.

92%
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37%
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27%
Stable · last 24h

51%
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80%
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