Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

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74%
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Resolved: No
Results Jul 29YES if the official minutes (acta) or an official press release published by the Spanish Ministry of Finance (Ministerio de Hacienda y Función Pública) on its official website for the Consejo de Política Fiscal y Financiera meeting convened for July 29, 2026 explicitly state that the CPFF approved the reform of the autonomous financing system. Otherwise NO. If the ministry publishes both an acta and a press release that directly contradict each other, the acta will be taken as authoritative.
How markets are built and settled74%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 74% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied evidence (contemporary news reports) shows that the Consejo de Política Fiscal y Financiera (CPFF) meeting scheduled for 29 July 2026 was postponed and rescheduled for 4 September 2026 (El País 2026-07-28; Artículo14 2026-07-28; EFE 2026-07-27 reports the request to postpone). Because the CPFF did not meet on 29 July, it could not have explicitly approved the reforma at a meeting convened for that date. None of the provided pages includes the Ministerio de Hacienda y Función Pública’s official minutes (acta) or an official press release asserting that the CPFF explicitly approved the reforma on 29 July. On the basis of the positive, contemporaneous reporting of the postponement and the absence of any official Ministry acta/press release in the evidence claiming approval on 29 July, the correct settlement is NO.
Source: elpais.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settlednot a chance. they'll probably argue about it until the world ends. let's just keep our fingers crossed! 🤞

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