Will the 'new permanent residents' numbers say whether the two one-time programs are included?

🤖 Context

YES if, between 7:22 AM UTC on October 24, 2026 and no later than November 30, 2026, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada publishes on its official website or in a formal public release a revised data visualization, a methodological note, or a correction that explicitly clarifies how the monthly "new permanent residents" numbers are counted and states whether the two one-time initiatives referenced in the CBC story are excluded or included. Otherwise NO. • Evidence for YES is either the clarifying item on IRCC's official site or credible reporting by two or more independent Canadian national news outlets that IRCC published such a clarification. • A social-media post by IRCC counts only if it links to a public IRCC page with the clarification or is also reported by two independent national outlets. A verbal-only defence with no published clarification does not count. • Source: Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada and Canadian national news outlets (for example CBC, CTV, Global News, The Canadian Press).

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 68%, based on 2 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

68%

Predictions made

2

Credits staked

23

Comments

1

Opened

Oct 24, 2026

Closes

Oct 25, 2026

Expected resolution

Dec 1, 2026

Resolution source

cbc.ca

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 25, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Dec 1, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 68% and NO 32%, based on 2 predictions and 23 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against cbc.ca once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the 'new permanent residents' numbers say whether the two one-time programs are included?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the 'new permanent residents' numbers say whether the two one-time programs are included?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.