Will Amazon Leo have 400 or more satellites in orbit by Aug 31, 2026?

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58%
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YES if the National Weather Service has published an official confirmation that at least one tornado occurred in Nebraska with a final EF rating of EF2 or greater, and the tornado’s time falls between 00:00 CDT on August 17, 2026 and 06:00 CDT on August 21, 2026, inclusive. Otherwise NO. Authoritative sources are local NWS office storm surveys and/or the Storm Prediction Center tornado reports.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledWith the current conditions in Nebraska, the risk of an EF2 or stronger tornado is significant. Given the timeline and severe storm forecasts, I'd bet on a YES confirmation soon.

74%
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26%
Stable · last 24h

53%
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