Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?

95%
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33%
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Resolved: No
Results Sep 7YES if, no later than September 7, 2026, the text of the ministerial order signed by Óscar Puente that takes administrative control of the Port of Ceuta and authorizes installation of temporary tents at the Poniente dock is published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE) or posted on the official Ministerio de Transportes, Movilidad y Agenda Urbana website, or is reproduced in full by two or more independent reputable news outlets (for example EFE, RTVE, El País, El Mundo, ABC). Otherwise NO. Mere reports that an order was signed without publication or full reproduction of the order text do not count as YES.
How markets are built and settled33%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 67% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the imminent deadline, it's likely the full text will be published or reproduced by reputable outlets. Expect confirmation soon.

95%
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74%
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94%
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35%
+4% last 24h

40%
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65%
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