Will Russian forces carry out an air, missile, or drone strike that hits the SBU headquarters in Kyiv?

69%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, no later than September 7, 2026, the text of the ministerial order signed by Óscar Puente that takes administrative control of the Port of Ceuta and authorizes installation of temporary tents at the Poniente dock is published in the Boletín Oficial del Estado (BOE) or posted on the official Ministerio de Transportes, Movilidad y Agenda Urbana website, or is reproduced in full by two or more independent reputable news outlets (for example EFE, RTVE, El País, El Mundo, ABC). Otherwise NO. Mere reports that an order was signed without publication or full reproduction of the order text do not count as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 6, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 7, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 45%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the imminent deadline, it's likely the full text will be published or reproduced by reputable outlets. Expect confirmation soon.

69%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h

15%
Stable · last 24h

61%
-3% last 24h

40%
-6% last 24h
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