🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 13
Will the HomeView be available to buy or ship on November 13?
88%
+1% last 24h
330 bets · 12.6K credits6
Details →
TechOpened Sep 14 · Results Nov 1
Will the Fitbit Air be available to buy in the US?
77%
Stable · last 24h
📊 427 bettors💎 8.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Nov 1🤖 Context
YES if, no later than October 31, 2026, the Fitbit Air (any SKU) is listed with the ability for U.S. customers to place and have an order confirmed (buy-now or a preorder that accepts payment) on the Google Store, Fitbit’s official U.S. store, major U.S. retailers/carriers (for example Best Buy, Amazon.com, Target, Verizon, or AT&T), or if Google or Fitbit issues an official press release saying U.S. sales have begun. A mere announcement or a 'notify me' option that does not accept and confirm orders/payments is NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes77%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Fitbit Air (Google Fitbit Air) has been available for purchase in the United States since May 2026, well before the deadline of October 31, 2026. Blog Google officially announced it on May 7, 2026: preorders open immediately at $99.99 (with the option to confirm and pay for the order), and available on shelves in the United States starting May 26, 2026.
Source: blog.googleKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 77%
- Predictions made
- 427
- Credits staked
- 8,527
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 14, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Nov 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- blog.google
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the timeline and the need for a confirmed listing by October 31, it seems likely that Fitbit will ensure availability by then. Expect listings or a press release soon.
Related predictions
See all →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 13 · Results Nov 14
Will Apple list the HomeView smart display for purchase or pre-order in at least one EU country?
44%
-1% last 24h
694 bets · 26.2K credits9
Details →🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 17
Will NVIDIA have a larger market cap than Apple on November 16?
12%
-10% last 24h
461 bets · 19.1K credits9
Details →🤖Tech·AICloses Nov 30
Will the June 18 OpenAI agent incident be referred to Australia's federal police or prompt a criminal investigation?
29%
Stable · last 24h
394 bets · 15.8K credits4
Details →🍎Tech·AppleCloses Nov 27
Will Apple file a formal administrative appeal or request for reconsideration with South Korea's KMCC?
31%
Stable · last 24h
387 bets · 13.1K credits2
Details →📱Tech·GadgetsCloses Nov 30 · Results Dec 1
Will Samsung announce or release its first Android XR glasses?
87%
Stable · last 24h
338 bets · 11.7K credits6
Details →