Will Luis Redondo, former president of the National Congress, be arrested or detained by Honduran authorities?

52%
-9% last 24h

91%
Stable · last 24h
YES if the Democratic Party’s total number of U.S. House seats won in the Nov 3, 2026 election is at least three greater than the number it held immediately before that election, otherwise NO. • Net gain = (seats won in the Nov 3, 2026 general election) minus (seats held the day before polls opened). Only seats decided as part of the Nov 3 contests count. Recounts, certifications, or runoffs count only if reported by two or more independent authoritative outlets by the resolution time. • The market resolves no later than 11:59 PM ET on November 5, 2026. • Source: official state election authorities and reporting from two or more independent authoritative news organisations (for example Reuters and the Associated Press).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against cbc.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 91%, based on 285 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes, this is the most likely scenario according to current projections: the Democrats are expected to gain at least 3 seats in the House on November 3.
The Americans voted for him and he will prevail.
Trump has an unprecedented drop in popularity. It is unlikely that he will win this battle.
Trump will pay for his excesses

52%
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74%
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35%
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31%
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39%
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65%
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