Will the cluster of thunderstorms about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands become at least a tropical depression?

🤖 Context

YES if the National Hurricane Center issues an official advisory classifying the same disturbance (the cluster of thunderstorms about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands that the NHC was tracking around August 10, 2026) as a Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm, or Hurricane at any time no later than 12:00 on August 17, 2026. Otherwise NO. If the NHC later reassigns the disturbance identity, this market uses whether that same cluster tracked in NHC products on or around August 10, 2026 was classified.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 67%, based on 66 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

67%

Predictions made

66

Credits staked

1,395

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 11, 2026

Closes

Aug 12, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 17, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 67% and NO 33%, based on 66 predictions and 1.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the cluster of thunderstorms about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands become at least a tropical depression?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the cluster of thunderstorms about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands become at least a tropical depression?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.